Twin Lakes
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #179
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #39
Harrison (WL) Regional Rank #8
Benton Central Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Taylor University Invitational Harrison Raider Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Hoosier Conference Benton Central Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,329 1,355 1,377 1,400 1,389 1,365
Team Adjusted Rating 1,380 1,366 1,279 1,327 1,333 1,303 1,365
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Taylor University Invitational Harrison Raider Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Hoosier Conference Benton Central Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State
504  Lilly Roth 11 21:27 21:07 21:47 21:39 21:29 21:42 21:37 21:11 21:39 21:29 21:16
993  Addie Bowsman 10 22:40 23:07 22:29 23:41 22:10 22:32 22:46 22:33 22:52 22:40
Ava Kaufman 11 24:09 23:13 25:36 23:43 24:09 23:45 24:04 24:50 23:59
Jocelyn Favela 10 25:39 24:28 25:43 25:23 25:55 25:40 25:56
Olivia Nickerson 11 25:49 25:05 25:15 28:18
Jaelyn Guthrie 9 28:25 28:22 28:48 28:30 27:29 28:04 28:41 28:40
Mackenzie Sands 11 29:02 28:23 29:34 28:21 30:01




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 8.0 211 99.8 0.2
Sectionals 100% 3.0 87 99.6 0.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lilly Roth 100.0% 93.0 100.0% 100.0%
Addie Bowsman 24.4% 140.7 24.4% 24.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lilly Roth 100% 15.4 0.0 0.3 1.5 5.7 9.0 9.8 9.8 10.2 10.1 9.1 8.7 7.2 6.3 4.3 3.3 2.1 1.3 0.6 100.0%
Addie Bowsman 100% 36.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lilly Roth 3.0 49.7 37.5 11.2 1.5 0.1 0.0
Addie Bowsman 8.3 0.0 0.7 6.3 13.9 22.2 25.7 16.5 8.7 3.6 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0